The Great Paper Trading Debate: Helpful or Hurtful?

mprincipatoGeneral Comments5 Comments

When it comes to paper trading, there seems to be two strongly opinionated sides to its purpose in helping traders learn how to trade.

There are the opponents and this group usually includes brokers (I wonder why). Their argument goes something like this: Paper trading is something you want to do for maybe a week or so in order to get used to your trading platform. After that, you want to start trading for real because in order to learn how to trade, you need to have skin in the game. Otherwise you are wasting your time. Just think every time you make a good paper trade, that could have been real money!

This argument has some plausibility. As far as having skin in the game to feel the market and how its movements affect your levels of greed and fear is an important educational aspect of becoming a successful trader. The problem with this argument is the motive. Usually the ones that make this argument want you to trade because they benefit from it. If you are trading real money just for the emotional education alone, you will not get very far. You will only become a victim of your greed and fear sooner than not.

The argument for paper trading, usually from people like other traders or some educators, who gain very little from your trading volume, usually sounds like this: Paper trading is good for testing a new strategy, fine tuning or testing ideas of some kind. Every aspect of the paper trading process should be treated as if you were trading real money. There should be a clearly defined methodology and a way to measure variables besides your P&L to judge your results. Professionals will back test and forward test strategies in order to be better prepared for what to do when there are losses to deal with.

Paper trading gives you the opportunity to prepare yourself without having to lose thousands of dollars trying things that may not work at all. You first need a well defined methodology or system to test, otherwise paper trading will only help you to reinforce ineffective trading behavior. Once you have decided what kind of trader you want to be, and once you have your set of clearly defined rules, and a way to measure your performance in detail, then you are ready to paper trade.

It is important to understand that paper trading for a week is meaningless. Collecting performance statistics over time will give you a much better perspective on the strategy that you are employing. How much time is enough? That depends on you, but I think 1 – 3 months is a good starting point.

The problem with most new traders is they are in a hurry to see results. For some reason, they think this business should produce great results from the onset (must be all that great marketing we are exposed to). Meanwhile just like any other legitimate business, the results we seek require a great deal of time and effort. Research is a major part of that effort. Even if you opened a casino where you have the gaming conditions in your favor, you still have to put up a huge amount of money up front for operational and advertising costs in order to get to your customers in front of the slot machines. You still have to give it time for your casino to become profitable. When comparing to the trading business, which is one where conditions are usually not in your favor, how can you justify your impatience for instant results?

Papertrading can be a valuable tool that can save you money as you are learning and better prepare you for when you are going to trade for real. You don’t want to make a career of paper trading of course because at some point you have to make the transition. I just think you are much better prepared to make that transition after you have done your homework because you will be that much more confident in your methodology when real money is on the line.

Marc Principato, CMT

Risk Disclaimer

*No Relevant Positions

5 Comments on “The Great Paper Trading Debate: Helpful or Hurtful?”

  1. This is a subject that I feel has not received the in-depth discussion it is due. Thank you for your thoughts, Marc. Your articles have been a strong addition to SMB. This was my response last year to the paper-trading question. Please pardon the long response. I didn’t want to only post the link since the discussion should occur here.
    Howard Lindzon, of StockTwits, asked the question, Should You Paper Trade?

    My first reaction to this question was an unequivocal “YES!” Paper trading was an essential part of my trader development, and while I am still a new and learning trader, the evidence of my past year argues that, without paper trading or more specifically simulated trading, I would not have become consistently profitable.

    But I understand, and agree fully with Lindzon’s reasoning. Until you place real trades, you won’t understand the foolish mistakes that you will make. You won’t understand how it feels to chase a trade beyond your planned entry. The fear when the ticks move against you. The impatience when your trade goes profitable. The regret when the move continues, and you’re not in it. You won’t understand your trading self.

    So let’s not make this a binary decision. Should I paper trade or not isn’t the question.* How should I use paper trading? That’s the question.

    To decide that question for myself, I identified live trading processes that I wished to learn—entry, trade management, money management, exit–then broke those processes down further into their mental and the mechanical aspects. A simple example is the act of order entry. Placing a buy limit order on the ask, learning to move along with price so that you can tag that order when order flow starts to turn—that’s mechanical. Being able to place an order on a retest of the low of the day—that mental. Paper trading can prepare you well, though not fully, for the mechanical, but it can only prepare you partially for the mental. This is your basic training. Paper trading is the drill sergeant screaming at you as he trains you to remain calm and execute while under stress. But screaming is not the equivalent of being under fire.

    And that is where I, and likely other new traders, made a mistake. I paper traded until I was consistently profitable, then, and only then, moved to live trading. It gave me an inflated and inaccurate sense of my abilities, and no sense of my real weaknesses. So I suggest that, as soon as you understand order entry and stop loss management, put on trades. Pick one day out of the week that you will trade live. Or start each day live trading, then move back to paper trading after you lose (or make) a set amount.

    Because it’s only by trading live that you will learn what mental and mechanical skills that you, not any new trader, but YOU need to work on. That how traders evolve. They find the balance between protecting their accounts while at the same time testing their limits. Build up your knowledge, then go out and find out how ignorant you are.

    And along the way, be kind to yourself. ‘Cause we’ve all been there.

    * I know these guys don’t believe the question is that simple either. Simple questions stimulate conversations, though.

  2. Jeff, great comment. Thanks for sharing.

    New traders underestimate the value of paper trading and get all caught up in the money rather than the risk. You make excellent points about transitioning to real money as well.

  3. I started out with paper trading and was very profitable, my entry points were right on the on and i stayed in the trade until it was profitable. Paper trading made me feel like I could trade any situation. But it does not teach you about your greed and fear of loosing money. I found that trading is very easy to do but controlling my fear and greed was very hard to do.

    Thank you Jeff for your articles….

  4. Hurtful. Best way to practice trading: super discount broker, small account, tiny positions. Don’t add money until profitable for 3 months.

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