Wall St. economists and big bank analysts often make inaccurate forecasts on stock prices. Short term traders predict price action more accurately because: Short term traders look at catalysts and current price action We understand how market participants will act to different types of catalyst and trade accordingly Predictions are for a shorter time frame We constantly reevaluate our trading thesis I hope this … Read More
A Low Risk Entry For A Long Term Breakout–FEYE
Since the beginning of the year FEYE had been consolidating between 38 and the mid 40s. It has had a lot of positive news flow this year but had many failed breakout between 45-46. I made a conscious decision not to get long in the mid 40s until it cleared all resistance for the year on heavy volume. On May 28th … Read More
A Safer Way to Be Long at the “Top”
When I start getting signals to be long at the upper end of the range, it can be a psychological challenge. Traders don’t want to be “late”. It may seem like the move already happened and the risk/reward is not favorable to have a long bias. Here’s the reality. Market neutral, positive Theta options traders don’t have to make that distinction. … Read More
Peak Performance Trading and Investing
Bruce Bower, a hedge fund portfolio manager, gives us a sneak peak into his latest course with SMBU. This video playlist gives you a taste of what to expect from his course: Introduction from Steve Spencer (2:51) Why Study Peak Performance and Apply it to Trading and Investing (7:31) The Nuts and Bolts of a Trading Methodology (10:01) The Probabilistic Framework … Read More
Implications of the Mid Cap/Large Cap Correlation Break Down
The correlation of the $RUT to the $SPX and $DIA has recently taken a nosedive. Correlation is a way to see how synchronized two markets are moving. In the chart below, you can see that the correlation indicator on $RUT vs. $DIA has moved to slightly below 0.00; signaling a low correlation. A zero correlation represents randomness. A correlation closer … Read More
Broken Wing Butterfly Trade Example on LNKD
For decades, expert options traders have been relying on a variation of the ever popular butterfly trade to enhance their monthly income and allow them to safely include a directional bias to their trading. The Broken Wing Butterfly (BWB) is a more advanced trade, not because it is difficult to understand – but because there are more nuances that require … Read More
Video: How to Short A High Flying Stock
This is one of the videos from our recent series on “How to Be Wrong and Still Book Profits”. Calling tops is generally frowned upon. But this strategy quite possibly may be the safest way to take a counter trend position. No relevant positions. Hypothetical trades are simulated using historic market data. Option Risk Disclosure.
How Do I Overcome Anxiety of Losing Money Trading Live?
In our SMBU Daily Video, learn about transitioning from simulated trading to live trading. In this video from Mike Bellafiore, you will learn: Best practices on your transition from sim to live trading The proper mindset to have How to find trades you have edge in How to get better everyday as a trader When to bump your trading size up … Read More