Last week we talked about the casino’s edge which in the trading world is called expectancy, but all that expectancy tells us is whether or not our trading strategy is likely to be profitable or not—but not how much money we might make. How profitable depends on how often we have a chance to trade our system—will it be a … Read More
Free Options Webinar: SMB’s Options Tribe: Today at 5pm EST: Options Trading and Trader Psychology
Today at 5:00 pm Eastern Standard Time SMB’s Options Tribe is an online community of options traders dedicated to sharing successful options trading ideas with all of our members worldwide. Each week the community will meet online for the primary purpose of watching live presentations made by outstanding veteran options traders and experts in the world of options trading. This … Read More
Using Prior Days’ Price Action–NFLX
Prior to the Open of Friday’s shortened trading session there was not much in the way of fresh news catalysts. So my first trading choices were second and third day plays. For those of you who are new to the SMB Blog you can use the “search” feature on the blog to review posts explaining how and why we trade … Read More
December 55 day $RUT bearish butterfly options trade: The finale
On Wednesday, the market gapped down and continued it’s downward trek of the previous 5 trading days. According to the guidelines of the bearish butterfly strategy, the reduced profit target of $1000 comes into effect 21 days to expiration on this lot size. As 21 days to expiration was yesterday, and the position was up $1800, I previously stated that … Read More
Free Options Webinar: SMB’s Options Tribe: Tuesday, November 29, 2011 at 5pm EST: Options Trading and Trader Psychology
Tuesday November 29, 2011 at 5:00 pm Eastern Standard Time SMB’s Options Tribe is an online community of options traders dedicated to sharing successful options trading ideas with all of our members worldwide. Each week the community will meet online for the primary purpose of watching live presentations made by outstanding veteran options traders and experts in the world of … Read More
Free Options Webinar: SMB’s Options Tribe: Today at 5pm EDT: Irons Condors using ZB Index options
Today at 5:00 pm Eastern Daylight Time SMB’s Options Tribe is an online community of options traders dedicated to sharing successful options trading ideas with all of our members worldwide. Each week the community will meet online for the primary purpose of watching live presentations made by outstanding veteran options traders and experts in the world of options trading. This … Read More
Great Expectations
The next step in building our casino so that we have the house odds in our favor is to look at the edge, or in system trading terms, expectancy. Let’s take a look at the house edge in a few casino games: Game House Edge Baccarat 1.2% Blackjack 0.8% Craps 1.6% Roulette 5.3% So exactly what does this mean? Let’s … Read More
Free Options Webinar: SMB’s Options Tribe: Tuesday, November 22, 2011 at 5pm EDT: Irons Condors using ZB Index options
Tuesday November 22, 2011 at 5:00 pm Eastern Daylight Time SMB’s Options Tribe is an online community of options traders dedicated to sharing successful options trading ideas with all of our members worldwide. Each week the community will meet online for the primary purpose of watching live presentations made by outstanding veteran options traders and experts in the world of … Read More