You see the chart pattern or play but the action before does count. Take a stock that trades down off the open then consolidates forming a nice support line. This line breaks so the chart says sell it short. Seems like a high probability trade right? But what if its 12:30 pm? Do you think the fact that its lunch … Read More
How to find the best stocks into the close
Good afternoon Mr. Bellafiore, I hope this message finds you well. I received your email by attending the event you spoke at in DC (which was really Rockville, MD). I read your blog everyday & find it extremely helpfull for my trading. I also completed the SMB Foundation ealiear this year. That’s an incredible program! The reason I’m reaching out … Read More
Free Options Webinar Today at 5PM EDT. The Options Tribe: An approach to Iron Condors
Tuesday August 23, 2011 at 5:00 pm Eastern Daylight Time SMB’s Options Tribe is an online community of options traders dedicated to sharing successful options trading ideas with all of our members worldwide. Each week the community will meet online for the primary purpose of watching live presentations made by outstanding veteran options traders and experts in the world of … Read More
Getting in your own way (HPQ and GS)
I received a very good analysis of a trader’s HPQ trading after the close. Let’s take a look and then discuss. HPQ – Considering I was in the opening drive, I definitely should have made money in HPQ today. After fees/etc. I’m sure I was down in it. I bought some (but not enough) above the 24.30-35 area. I got … Read More
SMB Radar Update – Low IPR Day
IPRs are hanging low today. $SPY at a 1.0 reading tells us that the general market is not In Play. This means breakouts with follow through are low probability in the $SPY and highly correlated stocks. As of now only 2 stocks in our universe are trading with a > 3.00 reading. I’ll be watching the Price Spike for opportunity … Read More
And the Probability Is….?
Intraday trading is not about predictions or fulfilling your need to be right. It’s simply about finding spots to trade that offer high probability risk to reward. Most aspiring traders take this thought and run to the charts. They will search and study until they find a pattern or play that seems to repeat with a predictable outcome. They will … Read More
Avoid The Slop And Make A Chop!
Please use the below chart to assist you in trading the market today. The no trade zone doesn’t mean you can’t have a position. It just means that initiating positions in market stocks in the middle of the zone are low probability trades where you will most likely get chopped to death! Look to trade breaks outside of the zone … Read More
Free Options Webinar: SMB’s Options Tribe August 23, 2011 at 5pm EDT: Iron Condors
Tuesday August 23, 2011 at 5:00 pm Eastern Daylight Time SMB’s Options Tribe is an online community of options traders dedicated to sharing successful options trading ideas with all of our members worldwide. Each week the community will meet online for the primary purpose of watching live presentations made by outstanding veteran options traders and experts in the world of options … Read More