Note: The following contains hypothetical results; simulated using historic data. As mentioned at a recent SMB Options Tribe meeting; a group of options traders are now working to back test a proprietary momentum signal using a variety of options trades. Several tests have come back with varying results… but we are seeing a common thread for options trades that show low … Read More
My Thought Process: $SPY Selloff
One type of price action that puts me on alert for a hard down move in the market is unusually large gyrations in quick succession. That is what is what we saw during the first few hours of trading today. Points 1&2 on the chart show up and down moves larger than the ATR of the SPY. This type of … Read More
Trades Getting Out of Hand?
Ever start out simple, with just one or two trades, and then end up with an entire mess of options? Congratulations! You’re now trading a “position”. Perhaps you’ve heard the term but aren’t sure what it means. You’re trading a “position” when you’ve gone beyond using just one strategy. Trading a position is typically going to be much different than … Read More
What is a Counter-trend Trade?
The counter-trend trade has been the trade of the year thus far in the market. The trade is expressed via a long position in the SPY after a down move to recent support. The idea behind this trade is the market has a strong underlying bid and when it pulls back to a prior support level buyers will step into … Read More
Two SPY Trades
I don’t trade the SPY on a daily basis. But I have a few “go to” trades that I will make when they trigger. Fade a pullback to a recent S/R level in the direction of the higher time frame trend (Trade2Hold) Fade a pullback to a recent S/R level against the direction of the higher time frame trend (Scalp … Read More
You Gotta Have A “Plan B”
Each morning we hold an AM Meeting at SMB to discuss the Stocks In Play as well as the bigger picture including global markets, unusual activity in commodities, and the US markets via the SPY. If a particular type of “day structure” is likely to occur that will be discussed as well. This morning with global markets humming and the … Read More
SMB Trade of the Week: SPY
Watch SMB Trade of the Week, a Trend Trade in SPY.
Where Are You Going?
Where are you going? Where do you go? Are you looking for answers to questions under the stars If along the way, you are growing weary You can rest with me until a brighter day, and you’re ok Dave Matthews Band, Where Are You Going? Yesterday I blogged that the market mainly traded between 115.60-160.30 SPY. Yes it spent some … Read More