I was sitting on our trading desk looking at SPY this Friday. I felt a very strange sense of déjà vu that it was 1998, the year I was relative strength trading semi-conductor stocks, and MSFT, INTL, DELL. This was before the Internet Boom but when these sectors were red hot. At 3PM we would add to our strongest-acting stocks … Read More
Mastering Breakouts: Do You Have a System to Identify and Trade Breakouts?
I read a statistic several years ago that the majority of what traders call “breakouts” fail. For this very reason there are algorithmic trading programs that fade breakouts. And there are some manual traders who love to fade all breakouts as well. There are many others who like to load up in the direction of the breakout 100% of the … Read More
Real Companies Get Bought When They Gap Down… Except for UPS
If you sit near me on our trading desk you have heard me say, “In a strong market real companies get bought.” What I mean is when a real company gaps down, in a strong market, it is likely to find a big buyer and find a way to trade higher. But then there was UPS on Friday. This was … Read More
The Falling Knife Trade– $AAPL
I bought AAPL on the Open today. One of my favorite trades in the first few minutes of the Open is entering a position on a quick dropout to the prior afternoon support. I make this trade in a stock that is trending higher on a multi-day time frame in the hope of getting an excellent risk/reward entry. AAPL close … Read More
Forex Trading: Summer Time Forex/Futures Scenarios 7/8
In this segment, Marc Principato CMT analyzes the S&P500 CFD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD for possible technical scenarios that can unfold throughout the week. To learn more visit: http://bit.ly/smbhome Be sure to follow me on twitter: http://twitter.com/marcpmarkets [purehtml id=22] — Marc Principato, CMT, Risk Disclaimer *No Relevant Positions
A Quant Test on a Trading Thesis
Hi Mike, I was halfway through typing my question when I remembered a blog post similar to my original question: http://www.smbtraining.com/blog/how-do-you-determine-how-far-stock-can-move I was wondering if you’ve found any statistical information by back-testing the above since then. For me personally, I first find important support/resistance levels on a stock & after that do I then consider the likelihood of those support/resistance … Read More
The Price Spike Fade Trade
I’m writing this post for one of the most gracious traders on my desk who should be in more of these plays, SWANG (also a character in The PlayBook). He is a terrific tape reader, scalper, and intraday trader. I can see him doubling his P&L by mastering this trade. I made a Price Spike Fade Trade in PAY yesterday … Read More
How Do I Stay Big for the Real Move?
Dear Bella, I can not wait for The Playbook! I started “eating” everything on the SMB Blog six months ago and went though key haha moments thanks to what I learnt, which suddenly made me a lot more profitable (kind of wasted 2 years with useless teachers). So I started to build a playbook ( my Iphoto app became full … Read More