I wasn’t planning on trading AIG. I thought SEED would consume most of my attention. Actually I thought I could establish a decent size position in SEED, sit back, and enjoy the ride. I would let the MoMo hedge fund traders do their thing. Who am I to get in the way of a low volume market pattern? SEED … Read More
SMB Setup for the Close for November 30, 2009
Today, the Market bounced off the 109.00 support level we mentioned in our Morning Rundown post. We expect the SPY to stay in a pretty tight range between 109.20 and 109.60 into the Close. Above 109.60 we may get a move back to 110.00. Our best idea into the Close is to buy SEED on a pullback close to 12.70. … Read More
SMB Morning Rundown for November 30, 2009
Today, the Market appears set to open virtually unchanged from the Close on Friday. The levels we are watching in the SPY today are 110.50 for resistance and 109.00 for support. If the SPY starts holding below 108.80, we expect a move down to 108.00. Our best AM Idea for today, which we highlighted in our AM Meeting is to … Read More
Reflections on Black Friday: Market Psychology
At 5:15 AM I awoke Eastern Standard Albany Time. I was in Albany, New York about to take a borrowed car to the Amtrak train station to the subway to my office trek. Door to door it took me just under four hours. I was the only one awake on Amtrak from Albany to Penn Station as I was preparing … Read More
Black Friday Close
Into this Black Friday Close today we are paying special attention to some key levels in SPY: 110 is our biggest intraday level. below 109.75 I will lean short. We are watching the market leaders: AAPL (winner Best Intraday Stock for today), AMZN, GS, POT, JPM. And now we just started watching SEED as a momentum stock (above 11.31 is … Read More
Morning Recap
Normally during a strong market we look for a bounce with such a large gap. Circumstances are a little different this time as Asia has sold off hard for two days and we need to play catch up. I’m still a buyer at key support outlined below. Especially in the stocks that have been strongest recently such as AMZN, FCX, … Read More
Holiday Interruptus!
It looks like holiday interruptus for the traders at SMB. The financial/real estate bubble that is better known as Dubai has burst like a Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade balloon. As I write this quick note the Hang Seng is down about 550 points but 200 points off its low. The S&P futures are off 23 and the NAS 100 futures … Read More
Turkey, Stuffing, and Genetically Modified Chinese Corn
Sometimes you are only as good as the stocks you are trading. While having the skills to mange risk and maneuver in and out of positions are of great value, stock selection is definitely one of the keys to success for any trader. As we approach the Thanksgiving holiday, and many traders get distracted by thoughts of turkey and wine, … Read More