Traders,
I hope you all had a wonderful weekend.
We’ve got an exciting week ahead. Not only because there are several in-play names from last week that I’ll continue to stalk, but earnings season is upon us! With TXN, NFLX, TSLA, GEV, QS, INTC all reporting… just to name a few!
Last week was awesome, to say the least. From quantum short opportunities, to the pullback in gold on Friday… all ideas I shared ahead of time with my members in IA. I hope everyone did well there, or at the very least, studied and playbooked the action.
Alright, for the upcoming week: First things first, I am paying close attention to the tight coil developing across the market right now. A potential inflection point that could determine the next directional leg. SPY, QQQ, RSP, etc – all coiled. For example, I will closely watch whether we break above and hold above Friday’s high, or if we break Friday’s low and potentially the 50-day SMA, which could spark greater selloffs and follow-through to the downside in many names from last week.
*Please note that the prices and other statistics on this page are hypothetical, and do not reflect the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as liquidity, slippage and commissions.
Continuation in GLD: Awesome opportunity on Friday after a record run and RSI in Gold. And an opportunity we were prepared for on the desk, and my members were ready for, thanks to Thursday’s meeting. Now, full transparency, I did not go out short over the weekend. I closed my short intraday near the lows, and I’ll look for a re-short. Similar to my IA thoughts on RGTI, in this market, I’d rather be wary of the V-shape reversals and re-position short once the turn happens. So, for GLD, I would look for a $390 – 392 lower high and a failure to short intraday, initially targeting a re-test of Friday’s low, with a trail on against VWAP. Alternatively, on a gap down and weak hold, I’d be open to short momentum intraday.
*Please note that the prices and other statistics on this page are hypothetical, and do not reflect the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as liquidity, slippage and commissions.
Similarly, Continuation in SLV: Like GLD, I’d be looking for a setup to short SLV. Lovely retracement toward its 10-day on Friday. For momentum, continuation shorts, I’d like to see SLV hold below its 2-day VWAP, or for SLV to break and hold below Friday’s low, opening the door up to a move toward $45 as a target intraday.
*Please note that the prices and other statistics on this page are hypothetical, and do not reflect the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as liquidity, slippage and commissions.
Thoughts on RGTI / Quantum: Again, an excellent opportunity last week, and a great one to study. Going forward, I’m not eager to short this with risk sub $ 40 – $ 45. What would get me interested again for a potential short swing, and increased risk, would be a push back into previous significant support. So, if this pushes toward $50 – $52 – overhead supply – and that is confirmed as newfound resistance, I would look to position short against the HOD. Everything else, such as intraday pops to $48 and failures, would be intraday shorts against the previous high or HOD. For big picture trades, from this moment on, I’d need primary levels to be retested and confirmed.
*Please note that the prices and other statistics on this page are hypothetical, and do not reflect the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as liquidity, slippage and commissions.
Additional Ideas
Notable Strength in TSLA: Of course, Tesla is set to report in just a few days. So, it goes without saying that I won’t initiate a fresh swing position to hold through the earnings report. But, ahead of earnings, if TSLA shows notable strength and breaks above Friday’s high, I’d be open to positioning long against the LOD for continuation into Wednesday.
*Please note that the prices and other statistics on this page are hypothetical, and do not reflect the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as liquidity, slippage and commissions.
Re-Shorts in Hot-Theme Leaders: Alright, this includes the likes of IREN, PL, CIFR, QS, RR, and several others. Overall, if a symbol on the list pushes back into significant overhead and potential resistance, I’d be inclined to look for a re-short against the HOD. But I’d also like to say that I won’t get tunnel vision. If the market breaks to the upside, and if we see these high-flying momo names begin to base near 52-week highs, I’d also be open to the possibility of a breakout and continuation of this bull run.
*Please note that the prices and other statistics on this page are hypothetical, and do not reflect the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as liquidity, slippage and commissions.