SMB Morning Rundown for November 19, 2009

smbcapitalGeneral Comments2 Comments

Today, the Market appears set to open lower after a negative reaction to the in-line initial jobless claims number. The levels we are watching in the SPY are 110.50 (inflection point), and 111.00 as potential resistance. The next resistance level above 111.00 is 111.50. On the downside we are watching the pre-market low, 110.25. Our best AM Idea for today, … Read More

SMB Morning Rundown for November 18, 2009

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Today, the Market appears set to open slightly lower after the weaker than expected Housing Starts and Building Permits numbers. The levels we are watching in the SPY are 110.80 on the downside and 111.80 on the upside. Our best AM Idea for today, which we highlighted in our AM Meeting is: HAL – Long if it holds above 32.00 … Read More

Competitive Advantage

sspencerSteven Spencer (Steve's) Blogs3 Comments

If a business has a clear understanding of what they do well they can spend time and energy fully developing these things until each becomes a competitive advantage that will have a direct impact on their bottom line.  In the world of trading it is fairly simple to measure the impact of certain behaviors on our bottom line because we … Read More

Trading A Breakout: MON

sspencerSteven Spencer (Steve's) Blogs3 Comments

The MON move that began at 2:30pm on November 10th 2009 was a classic breakout trade on heavy volume.  The catalyst for the move were the documents that MON released on its website giving financial projections for the next three years.  But put aside the fundamentals for now and focus on the tape and the technicals. 1) MON had failed … Read More