{"id":50636,"date":"2021-03-05T10:16:41","date_gmt":"2021-03-05T15:16:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/?p=50636"},"modified":"2021-03-05T10:16:41","modified_gmt":"2021-03-05T15:16:41","slug":"the-cathie-wood-trade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/the-cathie-wood-trade","title":{"rendered":"The Cathie Wood Trade"},"content":{"rendered":"

In this video, learn The Cathie Wood Trade. See a firm prop trader and Mike Bellafiore recap in step by step detail a straightforward, profitable, and recurring trading strategy that you can use to help grow your trading account.<\/p>\nView Video Transcript<\/strong><\/span>

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in this video learn the kathy wood trade<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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hi i’m mike bellfiore co-founder of smb<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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capital<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and we’re a proprietary trading firm<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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located in midtown manhattan and i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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also the author of the trading classic<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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one good trade<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and the playbook in this video see a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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firm prop trader and may<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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recap in step-by-step detail a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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straightforward<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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profitable and recurring trading<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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strategy that you can use<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to help grow your trading account<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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[Music]<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so this is a playbook on a flag after a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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steep market sell-off<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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a lot of people call it a reversal set<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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up we’ll go over why it’s kind of a flag<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you know consolidating near lowe’s it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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took place on ark<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this is an etf kathy woods etf<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it actually took place today as well um<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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but it took place on 226<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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2021 so last week this is a newer setup<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that is in my playbook that i don’t get<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to use all that often<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the market needs to be selling off<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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pretty aggressively for it to take place<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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um i really like this setup it can offer<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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some of the best our opportunities you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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know risk to reward opportunities<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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um this was the second time this week<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that i was able to take this setup<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and it was the second time of the month<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and as we sold off in the market<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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i used ark as my vehicle and i was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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actually able to again take this setup<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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today as well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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all right so we’re going to have to do a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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little bit of a back story here<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so that people who are listening will<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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understand<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so who is ark<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and why are you focused on them<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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when the market is going to go down yeah<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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arc um is cat one of kathy woods etfs<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and it has<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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some very speculative names in it more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the momentum names right<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the speculative momentum the momentum<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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names<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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stocks that and momentum stocks tend to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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go<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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higher because they’re going higher<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and so when they start to go down<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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because they’re going down they go down<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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as well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so uh we’ll try and we’ll try and add<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and kathy wood is one of the stars<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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one of the media stars right now in the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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market today<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and so she’s garnering a lot of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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attention and she has<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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garnered a tremendous amount of assets<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that have flown to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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her company and this etf<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and that is why we’re potentially<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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looking at it that it’s too hot<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this etf is too hot<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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these momentum names have gone up too<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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much because this etf is too hot<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and they’re doing too much buying and so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and i don’t want to put words in your<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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mouth and please correct me if i’m wrong<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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but<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is the thesis that if the market starts<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to go down the ones that are going to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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hit the most<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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more so than even spy or qqq<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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are the momentum names and the momentum<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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names<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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are in the etf ark<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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by a large predominance and so that’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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why you’re looking at this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that’s correct but i should make this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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more clear from from the start that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this is actually a long setup after we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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had that initial sell-off<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so i just need to clear that up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so just do just just do the opposite of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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what i said<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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well this did sell off you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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pretty aggressively with the market and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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there was some sort of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you know correction that was needed some<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sort of reversal after that sell-off and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that’s what i was playing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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gotcha all right good so this was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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something that was super in play<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and it got oversold and we’re looking<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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some support i guess correct um so as we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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begin to sell off in the market<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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i know i have this one setup within my<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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playbook that can offer some really good<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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risk reward opportunities again it’s a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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reversal setup<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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but what i really first need to see is a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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load to be established as i need a level<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to play against<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and base my risk off of i need some type<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of consolidation pattern and then a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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breakout to get involved<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it’s usually taking place on the one<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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minute time frame<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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um some people will buy on the way down<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and you know i’ve certainly<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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tested the waters with that in the past<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and it’s just not really that good of a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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fit for me you know some people will<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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as some of these names in this case arc<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is selling off you know some people buy<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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maybe tier one and then a few bucks<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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lower by another tier<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that’s just not really a comfort level<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for me um i like to see a low<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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established and then<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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build some higher lows and then a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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breakout to get involved<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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um so we could just see the risk to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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reward on this position i was getting<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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involved at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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there’s a breakout at 126.78 or 77<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that’s where i was getting involved<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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verse 126 10 and this really had the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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possibility to get back towards high of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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day i thought<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and that would have been you know a nine<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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hour opportunity of course for scaling<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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out along the way<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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but there’s room for this to really pay<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for itself<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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if it wants to work if you want to learn<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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three more real world setups that our<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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traders use<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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including the simple setup that we teach<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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all of our new traders and the setup<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that turned one of our traders into a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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seven<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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figure big money earner check out the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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free webinar that we’re currently<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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running just go ahead<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and click the link that should be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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appearing now at the top<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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right hand corner of your screen that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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will open up the free registration page<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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in a new window so don’t worry<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you won’t lose this video you can also<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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visit<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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tradingworkshop.com to register for this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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free intensive workshop<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you’re going to learn more in a couple<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of hours from this trading workshop<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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than from years of online education so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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just some market commentary um you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the last few weeks it seems like every<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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bounce seems to be getting weaker and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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weaker and there seems to be some panic<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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in the air<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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um you know i do have the luxury along<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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with all of us<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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speaking with a few market veterans who<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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have a lot more experience than me<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and they seem to you know be speaking<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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extensively about how the bonds don’t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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look so great and how heavy we seem to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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i’m no expert in that field but there<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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seems to be you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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some people who are maybe over levered<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and attempting to lighten up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and maybe rebalance a bit you know this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is kind of all<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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just my thoughts and what i’m you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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seeing in the market<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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but what is important to me is that we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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continue to see these sell-offs in the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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market and we put in a lower high on the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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daily as we can see here<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this is spy and you know we’re below the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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90ma and that’s something i reference<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and we can see that vix you know the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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volatility index is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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from low to high on this day it was 25<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to 30<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so you know volatility is definitely<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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picking up as we can see you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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volume is pretty high in the market i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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curious<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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who are you talking to um so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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i’m listening in to andy and shark and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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some of those people<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and they’ve been speaking quite a bit<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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about the bonds and like tlt<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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okay great awesome so the fundamentals<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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on air kkk again it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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kathy woods innovation etf the top<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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holdings are tesla roku square<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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tdog baidu et cetera we’ll get into that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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a little bit more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so there was a lower high below the 90ma<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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on the daily on elevated volume<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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on ark as well it was pretty weak<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and in one of our emails it states that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you know ark<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is one of the hottest etfs of 2020 in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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2021<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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has massive inflows into it that has<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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resulted in kathy wood<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you know this is of course all public<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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information running after all kinds of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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stocks that will revolutionize the world<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the problem with this is many of the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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stocks they’re involved in are pretty<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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illiquid and have tiny market caps<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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ark and many of these you know small<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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market cap names they make up 14 to 18<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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percent of the outstanding shares<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it’s a pretty big deal um they hold many<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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small cap biotechs in this portfolio you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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know it’s not going to be easy for them<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to get out of these names<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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if they want to get out because you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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they’re owning<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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14 to 18 a little bit more on you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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some of these names and that’s a pretty<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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big deal<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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but tesla roku square tdoc baidu spot<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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zillow shop are not examples<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of stocks that are illiquid correct 100<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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um so the daily volume at the time was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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7.84 million or the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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average daily volume arvol again was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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five today it was a lot lower and that’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
something i didn’t know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um and at the time of this was actually<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
higher i believe it was around seven<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the time i got involved atr was six<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
dollars so there’s definitely room for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
this to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
work if i can get involved there’s a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
possibility that hey maybe we move<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
six bucks from the low or so um<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
performance for the week 14 you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
down 14 performance for the month<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
down five percent year-to-date up four<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
percent<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um so doing a little bit better than the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
market<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
but you know there are some fees that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
come with holding this thing long term<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so top 20 of arc holdings with tesla<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
making up 10<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
of it it’s been selling off since 2 9<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
21. for me<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
arc is a perfect vehicle as it’s very<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
liquid and it offers some incredible<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
risk to reward opportunities<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
a lot of people including myself at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
times um<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know when the market is selling off<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you don’t always know where to go<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and you know where to find that reversal<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know you don’t know if you should be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
in some of these momentum names or you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
don’t know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
if you should be at least this is me<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
personally you know so many things are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
selling off and you could get a little<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
bit overwhelmed<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
and eat and this etf this has kind of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
been the perfect<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
vehicle for me to use and i see there<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i’m a big fan of kathy wood<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
yeah definitely help me to understand<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
why you are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
i don’t know i just i i mean she had<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that nice tesla call and i just<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
i don’t know i just follow her pretty<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
closely and i think she’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
somewhat revolutionizing you know what’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
going on in the market and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
i think it’s pretty cool uh okay it does<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
seem like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
maybe she’s buying the top on some of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
these names at least short term but<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we’ll just have to see okay fair enough<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um so you can see on ark we’re finding<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
some buyers at this prior breakout level<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um you see here and we could kind of see<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we’ve been getting bought up into that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
level<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it was kind of a spot i had in mind that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we could start to find some sort of low<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
but again i’m not somebody who just you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
know finds a level and then starts<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
buying on the way down or buying into it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it’s not me i<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i don’t find any success with that i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
not comfortable with it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
but we can see this pretty big volume on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
223 and we actually leaked below that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
but then we did get bought right back up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
pretty big liquidation that we saw<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
taking place<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so this is a one minute and a five<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
minute and we can see you know we sell<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
off pretty aggressively<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and then we kind of pop up a bit we get<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
sold right back under<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know a lot of longs are probably<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
getting stopped out under this low right<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
here<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a lot of shorts are probably hitting in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
as well then we kind of find a low at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
126.10<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we start to build some higher lows and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
this is actually where i take<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
my first position and we’ll go over that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a little bit later but i’m playing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
against the slow<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we kind of fail um we do hold that low<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and then it tightens up again<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and it breaks out so again i always need<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to have a low to play against and to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
base my risk off of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and that’s where you know 1r my full<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
unit of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
risk is against so if i’m wrong i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
cutting right below 126.10<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
of course more times than not you’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
kind of able to move out of the way<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
if you get a reason to sell before<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
eating that full one-hour loss<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
any thoughts on why that type of setup<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
works best for you based on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
your unique skills obviously<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
there are other people who look for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
capitulation patterns<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
uh blow off move to the downside<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and fade those that’s a very effective<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
strategy as well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
there are people that you know buy into<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
support levels<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that’s a very effective strategy as well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
spencer does that a lot<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i don’t it sounds like what you’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
saying is that doesn’t work for you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
something else works for you uh any<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
thoughts on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
why you think that does work for you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
better than the others<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i think from my experience over the last<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
few years i really don’t like sitting in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
positions<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um and kind of being flat on them or<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
being down on them a whole lot i like to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
wait kind of for a clear timing point<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
where<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
if it’s going to work it should kind of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
work right now and i don’t have to kind<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
of sit through<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
taking a whole lot of heat and i just<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
like being a little bit more systematic<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
where i know exactly where i’m wrong if<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i’m going to eat that full one hour loss<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and kind of a system like this has<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
helped me out a bit<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so some of the variables that i noted is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
this is a setup within my playbooks<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
early longs had puked it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
on the day so market was beginning to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
turn you know there’s not a lot of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
overhead because so many longs are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
stopping out<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
there’s a clear level where i’m wrong<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
probably most important<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
good prices elevated arvol the risk to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
reward was greater than three to one<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i thought it had the possibility to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
maybe get back towards high of day that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
would have been nine to one<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
of course taking a portion of that maybe<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
half maybe a little bit more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um as i do peace out along the way but<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
there’s room<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
for this you know position to be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
worthwhile and for me to actually want<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to put on risk<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it’s not one to one where maybe i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
risking a hundred bucks to make a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
hundred bucks as an example<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
this is an example where maybe i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
risking again just<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
an example random number risking a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
hundred bucks to maybe make you know six<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
seven eight hundred and that’s important<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
kyle how are you defining early lungs<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
had puked it intraday<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know we kind of see this oh i mean<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
clear selling at the open<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
but then we kind of see this low<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
established and you know this is a level<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i was taking<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
into consideration of maybe getting long<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um and there’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know i’m assuming that most people<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
are risking off this low here<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so if we get back below that low there’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a good possibility that you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a lot of longs are puking it and moving<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
out of the way come on you know what i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
asking are you measuring it based on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
uh atr you you’re you’re doing it based<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
statistically in some way<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
are you doing it visually you’re doing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it visually probably more visually more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
discretionary okay is there a way you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
think you can do that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
uh in a more systematic way<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um mine if you think you’d rather do it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
visually but i suspect<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that you would do better if there was a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
way for you to measure it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
yeah i i that’s something i would like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to look into again maybe it is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
based off atr okay i would encourage you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
go back to that last slide<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you’re being nice nice and specific here<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
with your variable checklist<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
this is all really really good so i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
picking out<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
something that i see as a way that you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
can make this better this is very good<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and so i’m saying let’s make this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
excellent<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
by being more systematic about how we’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
defining<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
puked intraday<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
[Music]<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and i’m sure you could do that um and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
then a couple more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that are pretty important to me is if<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it’s going to work it should kind of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
work right away at that timing point<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um that’s where i do think again i can<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
get more specific but where i do think<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know some shorts are going to be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
moving out of the way i’m covering on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the offer and some longs are going to be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
hopping in including myself<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so if it’s going to work it should kind<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
of work out that timing point<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so i don’t have to take a lot of heat<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
ideally<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um and again it’s very in play arc and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
kathy wood has simply been the talk of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the town for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the last six months or so so this is the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
first day we’re gonna go over both days<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
but we could kind of see how i got a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
little<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i improved a little bit from the first<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
day to the second day i took it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um but we could see that you know i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
taking the same setup we’re kind of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
breaking out over 128 i’m getting<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
involved there with risk off low of day<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
something i like to do is kind of on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that first turn<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
again sometimes i can get a little bit<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
more specific with it and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
also be a little bit more patient is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
cover risk and that’s often<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
selling half um and then i’m kind of in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a risk-free position you can see on the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
this day on 223 i really got flat here<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
for no apparent reason you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i was up nicely but again it was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
building higher lows<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
there was no reason this is a spot for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
me to sell one third of my last half<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and then kind of hold on to the rest for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a longer time frame move<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we can see on the second day um the day<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that we’re going over 226<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it’s a very similar setup um you can see<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that i actually take it at 127<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
first low of day and i note that it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
really doesn’t feel ready when i got<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
involved we push we don’t really push<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
away from price on volume<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we kind of pull right back in and i<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
noticed that i noticed there was some<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
selling taking place<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and i really should have been able to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
move out of the way for a small win<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
maybe flat<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a small loss um because more times than<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
not when we do sell off like this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we’re not gonna hold this low so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
perfectly like we did<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and i would have ate a full one our loss<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
now it did end up resetting up and i was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
able to get back in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
on this first position i did take you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
know a small quarter of an hour loss or<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so it wasn’t that big of a deal<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um but again more times than not it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
probably will flush those lows and i<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
will eat a full one-hour loss this is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
kind of just that one-off<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
opportunity where it held perfectly<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and maybe i got a little bit lucky but<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know then i get back involved after<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i cut it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and you know i sell half to cover risk<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
between these two areas and again i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
risking off 126<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
10 and then after i saw that first half<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i’m typically splitting<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
my second half into three even lots and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i saw a third here<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um and then i saw a third into 132 when<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we begin to stop<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we get pretty heavy up here um we’ve<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
pushed away pretty far<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know 126 to 132 and then this final<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
third is often left for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a 15 minute time frame sometimes at 30<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
minutes sometimes an hourly it kind of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
always depends on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
how the stock is behaving on that day um<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
in this case i was using the 15 minute<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and i like to use a 90ma as kind of a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
reference point<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
if we get below that 90ma we get below a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
key support<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and that next candle is holding below<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that 90ma<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it’s often a reason for me to get flat<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
in this case i did exactly that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
one thing to note is on this final third<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
again i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
speaking about my second half i’m almost<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
always selling this last piece into<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
some sort of weakness for the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
possibility to make more you know maybe<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we pulled into 130<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
50 130 and then we started to build some<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
higher lows<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and then you know maybe we close towards<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
135 or so and i still have that piece on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
but more times than not you know at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
least at this current<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
point in my career i am often selling<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know this final piece into some sort<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
of weakness<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
for the possibility to make a little bit<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
more i really like how you’re taking<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
profits<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
into into that first little up move<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
when you do that you’re going to create<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a system where<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you are much more consistent and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
[Music]<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you don’t have to be right<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
for the whole move you’ll be able to pay<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
for the trade<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
just with that initial up move<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
uh and then and then the rest will be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know the bigger trade<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i like the way you’re handling that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
right there as opposed to just going for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the full home run<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
yeah i will say that a few months ago<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and we actually spoke about this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a while back is i used to take off only<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a third or a fourth into this first up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
move and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
what would happen is you know i a lot of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
times we’d end up pulling back in and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
then i’d get stopped out the rest and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
all of a sudden<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
what could have been a free position or<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a small win ends up being a loss<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
my win rate was a lot lower um<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so yeah i’ve kind of moved to often<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
selling half on that first turn and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
sometimes splitting it up into a couple<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
even lots<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
uh but it’s brought up my win rate quite<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a bit it’s made you know the market a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
lot more fun and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know it isn’t that is important to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
me that’s that’s important i like the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
word i like the use of the word fun<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that strikes me as the market is giving<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you information about this particular<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
trade for you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
significant information and you can<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
trade this bigger<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the the way to make more money is not<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
only<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to have a system where you’re holding<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
more of the meat of the move or for the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
home run move<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it can be to trade a lot bigger<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and take profits along the way<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and if you’re doing that with a system<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that’s more consistent and you’re having<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
fun with it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that’s overall a better approach for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
someone like yourself<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
yeah i agree and i i have kind of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
started a shift towards that a little<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
bit more and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
definitely prefer it yeah that strikes<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
me as very promising<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so we’ll keep this short um this is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
reading the tape i don’t actually have<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the tape on hand but when i first got<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
involved and we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
we then pulled in i noticed some big<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
bids 10 000 share plus<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
which is pretty massive for this etf<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
starting to step up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
color coded black on my level two that’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
something i do with my level two just so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
they stand out a little bit more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to me um i have big bids and big offers<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
stand out<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to me so i can see when people are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
stepping up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um and this was taking place around the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
lows at 126.20 and they walked up from<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
126.20 to 126.50<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
every 10 cents and you know that’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
incredible size on this etf<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um i still felt like i was gonna get<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
stopped out on that first portion but it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
was giving me confidence that this would<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
soon begin to set up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
as there was some solid you know support<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
in that area if we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
if they cleared you know those bids fell<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
out we would like we likely would have<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
head lower<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um and on the second position when i got<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
along at the timing point at 126.78 you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
know that break<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
over 77’s we immediately pushed away<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
from price on volume confirming the idea<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
thesis<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
covering began to take place on the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
offer and loans were willing to pay up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so that timing point<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know i do want to see a push away<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
from price right away<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um ideally and i want to see it on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
volume confirming<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
my thesis and that the context is people<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
are moving out of the way on the short<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
side<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
people on the long side are hopping in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and just at 7 30 when i started noticing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
this this is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know something i noted in one of the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
discords that someone big on the bed on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
arc<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
probably um someone big on the bid<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know was stepping up on arc and i<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
still felt like i was gonna get stopped<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
out on that first position but it ended<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
up holding<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know they ended up holding it up um<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
rather nicely<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that’s great great share appreciate that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i i want to point out something for the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
newer guys that’s particularly helpful<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it’s interesting how you thought to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
yourself you were going to get stopped<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
out on your first position<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that’s actually you’re doing a lot of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
stuff right there which is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you’re not just thinking you’re going to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
be right you’re even preparing to be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
wrong<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and i think that’s a good way actually<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to think<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
through your trades which which is all<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
right i’m in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i’m probably going to be long i’m going<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to take my stop here<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and when you think that way you are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
being more open-minded to the position<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and if you were to get stopped out<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it’s not going to hurt as much it’s not<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
going to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it’s not going to send you in a into a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
tailspin as as likely as if you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
get in t take take<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
uh option b you you before the open plan<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to buy the overreaction in arc<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you see the overreaction and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you get in and you’ve been really<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
waiting for this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and when you get in you say well this is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the time where i’m going to be right the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
only thing that can happen is i’m going<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to be right i’ve<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i’ve i’ve figured out the market i’m a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
genius<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i’m gonna be the next kathy wood and so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know and there are people that start<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
their careers that way<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and then when that person gets stopped<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
out<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know they need some talking to and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
they get all down and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that’s distracting and and that’s that’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
not helpful<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know but you are being skeptical<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and dr steenbarker says this a lot that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
one of the things that he finds when he<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
studies the best traders<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to be a commonality is not<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
overconfidence but that they’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
continually checking<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the data that’s coming into the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
marketplace as to whether they’re going<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to be right or wrong in a particular<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
position<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know they’re not they’re not over<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
confident they’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
they’re skeptical and they’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
continually questioning themselves<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
whether or not this is going to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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be right or not not that they get out of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the position or cause themselves to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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lose money but they’re entering a stage<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of open-mindedness<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so you you did that very well and i<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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don’t want to just<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
gloss over that and i want you to know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that it’s it’s perfectly okay and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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probably pretty healthy<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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particularly in a first position that’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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near the near the low<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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yeah to be thinking the way that you did<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
this is a final slide but<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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we’re just going to go over this first<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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position we just briefly talked about it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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right there but<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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um i noticed again that it likely wasn’t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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ready we didn’t get the push to the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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upside that i wanted to see on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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increasing volume<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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i really should have got flat when we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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pulled into where i got involved and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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reevaluated it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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um maybe i could have made a little bit<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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on it maybe i could have you know been<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
flat on it lost a little bit on it again<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
i only lost like a fourth of an hour<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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um but i noticed that i noticed how weak<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
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it was when we first pushed and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
not taking that reason to sell um more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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times than not<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
will cost me a full one-hour loss and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know that is completely unnecessary<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um but i was okay with it you know if i<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
did take that full one-hour loss i saw<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
those big bids stepping up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um that this would soon set up down the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
road if it wasn’t ready at this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
current time um we so happen to hold the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
low but<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
but we sh you know should have gotten<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
out for flat and reevaluate it more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
times than not again we flush under<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
save yourself the possibility of taking<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that full one-hour loss<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um but that’s about it for this setup<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
within my playbook you know i was able<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to take the same setup<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
today on ark and hopefully it keeps<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you know setting up yeah and i’ll just<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
fill in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
some of the details for context so there<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
are some people<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
on the street who feel like these<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
momentum names are over owned<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and that kathy wood and ark is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
susceptible<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
to a large<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
move to the downside if if some people<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
start to lean on her<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
on the short side so that if<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
if the shorts start to lean on her<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
momentum names which are already up a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
lot<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and cause them to go down that’s going<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
to cause<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
some outflows at her etf<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and that those outflows are going to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
cause<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
more selling and so and i think this is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
true<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
both for the momentum names and as you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
mentioned sadly<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
uh also with savvy also for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
the less liquid names that that she’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
particularly long so there’s there’s a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
thesis there’s some whisper going around<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the street that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
arc is susceptible for a big down move<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the momentum names are susceptible for a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
big down move<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
because there’s just too much money<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that’s gone into arc<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and she’s bought at prices that are not<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
sustainable<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and if they lean on her they can get<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
outflows and outflows cause more selling<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and we could see a pretty big down move<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
in this in these particular names<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
on top of the fact that they’re already<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
up so much i don’t know if that thesis<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
is right<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i’m not suggesting it’s right but it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
something that you need to know about<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and we’re seeing a little bit more of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
some verification of that thesis having<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a little bit more weight<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
on a day like today one more thing i<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
will say is that you connect<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you could go to their website and sign<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
up to get<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
daily updates with what they’re buying<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and selling and i look at that at the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
end of the day almost every day and i’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i’m looking at it and a lot of the stuff<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that she is buying just makes<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
absolutely no sense to me at the prices<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that she’s buying<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
um so yeah i kind of see that um<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
thesis as well possibly you know playing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
out<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
yeah and i think one of the other things<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that would be good to know to note is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
inflows and outflows for her fund uh<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
when you can find them<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
the the question i want to ask for you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
though and the takeaway i want you to be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
thinking about for this particular trade<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i hope that you don’t see this as just a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
trade that you make in ark<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and to me this is reminiscent of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
conversations i had with graham when he<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
was doing particularly well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
trading riot and mara<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
in sympathy to bitcoin<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and he was seeing himself doing really<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
playing sympathy names in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
bitcoin just playing the bitcoin stocks<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and my feedback to him was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you’re not just good<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
as a sympathy trader in bitcoin but what<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you’re doing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
is much more important than perhaps you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
recognize which is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you are you are in in sympathy<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
trader you are ha you have developed<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
edge<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
in sympathy names so for instance when<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
gme exploded to the upside and was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
followed by<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
bbby and amc<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and pltr and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
uh space and you know all those other<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
names<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and uh cos<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
looking at gma as the head of the snake<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and then watching the sympathy plays<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
like he was doing with bitcoin like he<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
was doing with bitcoin like he was doing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
with bitcoin like he was doing bitcoin<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
is the same trade it’s just in a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
different<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
sector now true<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you need something super in play<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
bitcoin’s super in play that that’s why<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
it’s working<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
but your trade is a lot broader and for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you while i<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
i see that you’re doing well looking for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a bounce in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
an arc what you’re doing here<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
is bigger than hey i’m looking to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
play a bounce in arc and that’s why i<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
asked you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
can you quantify<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
what a blow off oversold condition<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
is in ark and if you can quantify that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you can apply it to other stocks you can<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
apply it to other setups<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and when you apply that to other setups<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
you’re going to move from you know just<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
an arc bounce trader to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a you can call this a lot of things and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
a fade trader uh a bounce offer an<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
overreaction trader<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
call it whatever you want but but this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
will open up your trading world to a lot<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
more opportunities<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
probably even better opportunities than<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
arc because i don’t know that that’s i<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
don’t know the volume and liquidity in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
that particular name<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
as as good as other opportunities<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
so think about tightening up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
how you’re defining something that gets<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
oversold<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
and i hope that you walk away from this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
seeing yourself as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
able to do this in other types of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
products yeah totally all right thanks<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
talking to you go kathy wood<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
have a good one hey go ahead and click<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
our subscribe button so you don’t miss<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
any of the videos they’re producing for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
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video from all of us at smb<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
train and trade well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

* no relevant positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In this video, learn The Cathie Wood Trade. See a firm prop trader and Mike Bellafiore recap in step by step detail a straightforward, profitable, and recurring trading strategy that you can use to help grow your trading account. * no relevant positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":290,"featured_media":50637,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4189],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50636","post","type-post","status-publish","format-video","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-free-daily-trading-video","post_format-post-format-video"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Cathie Wood Trade | SMB Training<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/the-cathie-wood-trade\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Cathie Wood Trade | SMB Training\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In this video, learn The Cathie Wood Trade. 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