{"id":49946,"date":"2020-06-22T12:32:13","date_gmt":"2020-06-22T16:32:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/?p=49946"},"modified":"2020-06-22T12:32:13","modified_gmt":"2020-06-22T16:32:13","slug":"a-simple-profitable-and-powerful-stock-trading-strategy-to-jump-start-your-trading-progress-finally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/a-simple-profitable-and-powerful-stock-trading-strategy-to-jump-start-your-trading-progress-finally","title":{"rendered":"A simple, profitable, and powerful stock trading strategy to jump start your trading progress (finally)"},"content":{"rendered":"

In this video, learn a simple, profitable, and powerful stock trading strategy to jump start your trading progress. See how a savvy SMB intern breaks down in step by step detail a trade very much worth adding to your trading PlayBook. Let\u2019s get to work.<\/p>\nView Video Transcript<\/strong><\/span>

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in this video learn a simple profitable<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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powerful stock trading strategy to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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jumpstart the trading progress finally<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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hi I’m Mike bellafiore co-founder of SMB<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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capital and we’re a proprietary trading<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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firm located in midtown Manhattan and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I’m also the author of the trading<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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classic one good trade and the playbook<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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click our subscribe button so you don’t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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miss any of the videos they’re producing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for you in the trading community see how<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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a savvy SMB in turn breaks down and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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step-by-step detail a trade very much<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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worth adding to your trading playbook<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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let’s get to work today I want to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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explain the overage carried squeeze this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is a trading setup on a previous play<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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book I made called the undercarriage<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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squeeze I think the reason why I was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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able to execute this trade decently in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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real time is because I’ve seen a similar<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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setup before so sector analysis for the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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past few days we’ve found that the tech<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sector is strong as seen in QQQ with<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this we’re likely to see some sector<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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rotation the this morning the market was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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being pushed higher by semiconductors<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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along with financials and industrials<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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big picture I think what’s important to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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look at when seeing this pie chart is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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every single tip is a game bought up and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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every single break out usually continues<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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higher as we see for the past two weeks<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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dr. s said during this morning meeting<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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there’s some value information that he<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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got from other hedge fund managers that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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they’re very bullish yet they haven’t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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put their money to work yet and this is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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valuable for intraday traders for like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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us is that we will see that weak stocks<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that are heavily shorted can break<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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higher as a short squeeze and dips are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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likely to be bought up in strong stocks<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and he’s the QQQ as we can see that it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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breaking in all-time highs and just to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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clarify the QQQ is the focus of the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Nasdaq 100 index that is heavily<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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dominated by big tech names daily<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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fundamentals okay we see here that Tesla<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is consolidating in a descending<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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triangle right around the 850 zone<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that’s was acting for as resistance for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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about a month this is great for your<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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taking long trades because it’s unable<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to move lower and it’s holding near<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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all-time highs it’s breaking out on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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larger timeframes spies also moving<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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higher and the short interest is 11%<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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on this particular day Tesla was capping<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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higher the over carriage v whop squeezed<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the criteria for the setup is the stock<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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must have tempers that are more short<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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interest breaking out on larger<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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timeframes<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this has edge because we’re gonna see<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that there’s big buyers behind it behind<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it with a fundamental catalyst the stock<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is gapping up 2% or more during pre<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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markets so it makes it a stock and play<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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as long as the relative volume is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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following through they must see an<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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opening drive lower price mister<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consolidate overview op for 15 minutes<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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or more but when you see it’s a stock<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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holding over V WAP it’s considered a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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good risk reward for shorts to add to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the position and also a low volume and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consolidation overview up is showing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that a lot of traders are sitting on the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sidelines for an anticipated move and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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with this when you see consolidation<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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usually what contraction comes expansion<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and the consolidation must be tight and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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on lower relative volume allows for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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tight risk and you’re risking the low of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the consolidation range and then reasons<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it sells in the situation can be a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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blow-off top a 9 21 EMA cross showing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that the momentum or trend is over price<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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target hit whether that be a resistance<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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above the unusual seller on the tape or<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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your stop gets hits which is below the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consolidation area so there’s something<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I really like so far about what you’ve<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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done and that’s how specific you are and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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what you’re looking for you have clearly<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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defined variables that you’re looking<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for you have clearly found a setup<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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can move a lot higher from where it is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you know exactly what you’re looking for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you’re putting yourself in a really good<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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situation to catch something that could<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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move away from price quite a bit meaning<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you can make a lot on the trade well as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you’re developing your PlayBook I would<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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encourage you to do more of this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the specificness of your variables for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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what you’re looking for or how you want<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to get in and how you want to get out is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is very very strong<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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yeah exactly and then there’s other<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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variables you can put into it like you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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see what the range is that it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consolidating over V whap and how long<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it’s consolidating along with this is a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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picture-perfect consolidation with a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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drying up of volume as we clearly see<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that it’s just getting lower and lower<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and lower and then as soon as we get<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this break then that’s as likely we’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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gonna see the continuation higher and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this is where you want to add to your<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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position and this is the the now moment<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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where you want to get in and then coming<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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off of this breakout we see a very nice<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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continuation higher with a blow-off top<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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or a piercing candle as on the way up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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we’re seeing continuation in volume and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this breakouts confirmed by a 1-minute<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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candle closing above the consolidation<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you’re seeing it on the tape and you’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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gonna see the volume coming in this is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the original trade that I’ve gotten the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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over undercarriage squeezed from is this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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first one was in United same thing which<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you move lower we move up we consolidate<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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25 minutes breakout and volume and we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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get a huge continuation higher with<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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another Bowl off top and then here are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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these two trades they’re different<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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stocks ones United ones Tesla and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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they’re very similar set up both have an<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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opening drive lower both have greater<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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than 10% short interest both are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consulting over 20 minutes there’s a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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decrease of volume and consolidation<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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range similar price action in a way<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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they’re both gapping up and the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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difference is is they have different<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\u00e1rbol and the average true range with<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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these trades are gonna be different<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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if you want to learn three real world<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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setups that our traders use including<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the simple set up that we teach all of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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our new traders and the set up the turn<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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one<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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our traders into a 7-figure big money<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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earner check out the free webinar that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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we’re currently running just go ahead<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and click the link that should be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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appearing right now at the top right<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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hand corner of your screen<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that’s gonna open up this free<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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registration page in the new window so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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don’t worry you’re not gonna lose this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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video you’re gonna learn more in a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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couple of hours from this trading<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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workshop then from years of online<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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education I also want to show you guys<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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two setups these are from today so this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is wayfarer I wanted to see if I could<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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find some setups in this this I didn’t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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play this because it wasn’t in my pre<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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market plan but same thing we got to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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move lower we get consolidate for 30<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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minutes and we get a move higher Wayfair<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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fits all the criteria they have a 28%<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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short interest and they’re a gapping up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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higher in pre market they may all like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this meets all the criteria for a under<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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or over carriage view op squeeze and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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then there’s another one same thing this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is also today we got to move lower we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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move up we consolidate overview up for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this one is for 30 minutes and a ninety<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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or in the ninth range and we get a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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breakout and elevated volume and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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continuation higher but like these<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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setups all look super similar to me I’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sure it does absolutely for you guys as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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well you can find an edge in this type<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of setup have you built a filter yet or<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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either of these trades that’s what I was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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gonna get to I have not and if it was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this what it came up for sure yeah and I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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think this is something that you want to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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be working with Nick on as soon as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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possible<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and you know I reach out to him I’ll<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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connect you guys but this is something<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you want to have built this weekend<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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because you want to let tec-9 one of the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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huge advantages at our firm is we can<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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build technology custom technology<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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really quickly that we want very simple<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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filter for you to build you’ll be able<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to do it very quickly and you know Nick<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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will assist you if you need help with<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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with it very powerful alert for you to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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have with your trading this is a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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terrific setup we call it actually a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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different name in archery which which I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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know you guys have gone through in our<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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training program fine for you to rename<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it a little bit and there’s a little bit<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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different cuz you add that short<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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interest in it which I actually kinda<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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like but it’s very similar to one of the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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best trades that we find for intraday<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trading and just the crux of it is that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consolidation for a long period of time<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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in a stock that’s in play okay<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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denotes that there are people<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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positioning long and their people<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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positioning short intraday there there’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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some big bets being made long and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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there’s some big that’s being made sure<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and when it breaks from that tight<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consolidation particularly if it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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continues and the trend that it looked<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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like it was heading in you’re gonna get<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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all those people who are holding it up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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buying you’re gonna get all the shorts<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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covering you’re gonna get a lot you need<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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some trend traders in there seeing that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this is strong wanting to buy and you’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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gonna get particularly you mentioned on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the daily chart those breakout traders<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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there they’re gonna be popping that up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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as well so there’s a lot there’s a lot<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of people they’re gonna want to be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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buying the stock for which you can you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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enjoy and it’s something that can<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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continue for a decent ride to the upside<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so it’s a really good set on a good<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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setup to find all right what else we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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have I just want to point out one more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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thing about this is the risk reward on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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these trades is great because you’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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risking the bottom of this range when<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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with a one-minute crandall closing below<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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per say because you want price and time<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to be below and in Tesla’s particular<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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case this is a one to fifteen risk<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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reward just if you would have played at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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ideally you it to the blow off top like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so the risk reward in these in these<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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setups are very good I’m gonna take that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trade quite often a one to fifteen risk<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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reward is a good trade to be in the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trade management in this I could have<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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done much better with my sizing and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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adding to my position my first entry was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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at the bottom of this consolidation<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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range which I was seeing on the tape and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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seeing buyers coming around this 936<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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area or 935 area and I added again which<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I saw it like it’s getting a little<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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tighter a little tighter and then we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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move up and I actually took off most of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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my position unfortunately right here but<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I held onto partials and then I just had<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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a very small core throughout the rest<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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what I could have done better is added<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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here maybe take off a small portion here<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and then just ride the momentum until I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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see my reason to sell I’ll just explain<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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some of the important things key points<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I saw on the tape when we were in the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consolidation range every time we got to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the bottom of the range I was seeing the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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bid stepping up is thin on the ask and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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offer and buyers were holding the bid<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and refreshing as soon as it broke out<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of the consolidation that’s when the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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time and sales started to speed up again<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the bids we’re really stepping in most<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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transactions were on the ask big prints<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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are also on the ask<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and time and sale was accelerating I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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think the important thing with this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trade is for me to able to recognize and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you see the price action the volume and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the taper all behaving in a way that has<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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edge and for me to enter the now moment<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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opportunity flow when I see the trade in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it and it matches my criteria I will<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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take it every time this is because I’ll<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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be able to track the win rate and get<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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big if this setup works for me this is a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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high-quality setup with edge and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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recognises this in real time will allow<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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me to scale the trader and I think<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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what’s important about this is the is to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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find the easy money and I think is easy<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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money is identifying the opportunities<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that provide the best risk reward by<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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gathering checks that have edge and then<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the last part of this review ISM I would<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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really I will do this this weekend is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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build a script to scan for this setup I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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have your slide right here where you go<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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over the variables that get you into the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trade so one the stock must have above a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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10% short interest number two breaking<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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out on a larger time frame number three<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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stock is gapping two percent or more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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number four<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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price must consolidate overview up for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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15 minutes or more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and number five consolidation must be<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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tight and lower relative volume and I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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don’t think you’ve talked about that yet<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Coleman which is in that consolidation<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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what do you mean and what are you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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looking for when you say lower relative<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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volume in the consolidation so when it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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when price is in that consolidation<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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within a range the volume in that time<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is going to be lower than the opening<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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drive lower and when we see the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consolidation in that range a lot of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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traders are gonna see that as is like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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indecision or a lot of traders are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sitting on the sidelines waiting for<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that breakout to happen or that next<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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move to happen and I like how you’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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adding a high short interest for this as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that’s gonna cause you know particular<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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from the long side that’s gonna cause<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the stock to move a little bit more as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you’ve got more natural buyers who are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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covering their shorts that’s I like I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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like the addition of that variable as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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well and then you go on to say why this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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has edge one the price action is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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breaking out on a larger timeframe with<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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bigger buyer behind it with News two<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sectors moving higher with news and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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other stocks three holding above you up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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good risk reward for shorts to add to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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their position the greater the squeeze<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for the long number for low volume and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consolidation means traders waiting on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the sidelines for an anticipated move<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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five tight risk risking the low of the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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consolidation range yeah so it’s it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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important when you’re building your<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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playbook to get a feel for why this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trade is gonna work you’re gonna spend<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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time building your career from a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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playbook and you’re going to practice<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and put money and play from your<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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PlayBook you want to sort of understand<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
like why are these trades working is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this especially can that gives you more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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confidence unless you’re just a quant<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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which is fine maybe some of you will<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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become quantitative traders but even a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
even a quantitative trader is gonna is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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gonna want to have confidence right why<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
it’s gonna work I’ll give you an example<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
so I’m reading the Jim Simon’s book<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
which I’m sure plenty of you have read<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
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and talks about the birth of Renaissance<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and how they developed into you know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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probably one of the great money<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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management firms of all time if not the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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top and you know the story behind<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Renaissance is it was a firm that was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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first started by mathematicians mainly<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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from the Stony Brook math department<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
SUNY Stony Brook in Long Island who<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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we’re trying to solve the markets<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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through math through analyzing data and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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one of the first big discoveries that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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they made was done so by analyzing data<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
and that this is this is certainly raw<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for today’s terms they were pioneering<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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how to be gathering data sorting through<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it and finding edge by doing math and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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finding patterns and data and so the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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data wasn’t anywhere near as vast as it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
is now but but the ideas are the same<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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which is you know how do i how do i find<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
edge how do i find patterns based on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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using big data and coming up with<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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quantitative models and when they came<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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up with one of their first very<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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promising models<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Jim Simon’s incredibly gifted<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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mathematician who whose goal in starting<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Renaissance was to have a quantitative<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
model who he could rely on because he<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
didn’t really like the ups and downs of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trading when he used his discretion he<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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had trouble stomaching it he wanted to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
have a way to invest in markets that was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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more quantitative and that is unique<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
talents a little bit better and when<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
presented with a quantitative model that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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he had been looking for that was that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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was promising<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and was working granted on small size he<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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felt uncomfortable running it Jim Simons<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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felt uncomfortable running it because he<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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didn’t quite understand why the model<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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was spitting out buy and sell signals<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and because he couldn’t understand he<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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had less competence in it and it it even<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for somebody whose goal it was and who<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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was so gifted in math it took him time<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to get used to that so in our human<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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nature is if we can if we can understand<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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why these trades are more likely or not<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to work mornings naturally as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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discretionary traders would be have more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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confidence in them so that makes sense<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and then I get reasons to sell blow off<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
top number one number two the 9 for 21<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
EMA cross squeezed upward trend is over<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
Coleman can you talk to you explain what<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you mean by that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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yes um so as price is squeezing higher<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the nine EMA is gonna be above the 21<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
EMA and likely when we see the backside<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
of the trade the nine EMA will cross<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
back under the 21 EMA showing that the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trend is likely over and a price of the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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stock is overextended relative to that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n
day alright great three resistance or<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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price target is hit that could be a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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pivot point that could be a capitulation<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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area that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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overhanging maybe that could be all-time<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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highs and give me a multiple of things<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and then the unusual seller on the tape<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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usually like what you see is the ass<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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start to get really big at a whole<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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number it’s likely to be like a big<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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number and a price isn’t able to break<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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through that and maybe you see it test a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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couple times and fail at that level and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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then we’ll likely see continuation lower<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
and then your stop hits so I was just<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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your reason to sell your stop is I if a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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price breaks below the consolidation so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
you having a super-tight risk again how<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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do you feel about these these trades<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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overall these two trades that you’ve<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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identified I really hope to see them<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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again I see that the risk reward in them<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is so high if I take these trades like a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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hundreds and hundreds of times<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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even if I have a 50% win rate the the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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risk reward is so high that all of the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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losses will<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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although winds will way out all the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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losses all right great<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
so let’s keep taking more of them let’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
get those filters going yeah really like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
the trade for you really like the trade<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\n
for the guys listening powerful trade<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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encourage you to take more of them it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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a trade that absolutely works trade you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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absolutely can<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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start seeing success and pretty quickly<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so good stuff really like the variables<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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really good job there hey go ahead and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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click our subscribe button so you don’t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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miss any of the videos they were<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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producing for you in the trading<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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community and please take the time to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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add your feedback in the comment section<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for what videos you’d like for us to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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produce next and what you found helpful<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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from this video from all of us at SMB<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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train and trade well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

* no relevant positions<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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