{"id":49824,"date":"2020-04-28T11:40:48","date_gmt":"2020-04-28T15:40:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/?p=49824"},"modified":"2020-04-28T11:40:48","modified_gmt":"2020-04-28T15:40:48","slug":"how-to-identify-a-large-market-move-before-it-happens","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/how-to-identify-a-large-market-move-before-it-happens","title":{"rendered":"How To Identify A Large Market Move Before It Happens"},"content":{"rendered":"

In this video, Steve highlights a pattern that led to an outsized move in IWM and how you can identify this pattern.<\/p>\nView Video Transcript<\/strong><\/span>

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IWM we took a look at it over the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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weekend the charts starting to actually<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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look a little bit better to me we’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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showing relative strength in the last<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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few weeks versus the spies now remember<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the small caps got crushed on the way<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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down much more than the large caps<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I think the spy is that the low was down<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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low 30s small caps were down mid 40s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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percenter percentages from the high and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so really got crushed and then over the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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weekend a friend of mine actually sent<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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me an interesting note or just a short<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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clip basically said that on earnings<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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revisions in IWM we’re down actually 45<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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percent or over 40 percent I remember<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the exact number but technology<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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revisions were only down 5% and that’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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obviously explains the strength in the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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technology sector and so you’ve now got<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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people thinking oK we’ve had this huge<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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rally and technology the spies are you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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know not down much anymore you’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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hearing like the big banks and some of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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these large hedge fund people saying the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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risk reward isn’t good in the market<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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when they talk about the market they<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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mean the S&P<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and so you know people are thinking why<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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don’t we take a look at the small caps<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and so in the morning meeting we put it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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on the game plan sheet for the first<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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time in a few weeks and I discussed two<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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patterns we take a look at the clip I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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talked about possible patterns the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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reason why we’re talking about possible<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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patterns is you want to be ready to go<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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as the pattern unfolds when the after<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the market opens to be ready to act and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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not be thinking on the fly oh it’s down<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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should I buy it’s up should I buy what<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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are the possible patterns think it out<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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in advance develop a game plan how to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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play that pattern and take advantage in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the pre-market we were seeing the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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relative strengths I mean I’d be averse<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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despised I think it was up about 70 more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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basis points maybe it was like 1% versus<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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1.7 if you look at it now take a look at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this chart it’s a 300 basis points so it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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even though it was already up more than<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the Spy’s in the pre-market by 70 basis<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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points seven tenth of one percent now<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it’s outperforming by 300 basis points<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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three percent that’s a huge move anyway<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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check out the clip and hopefully this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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gives you an idea of kind of our<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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preparation process and how we kind of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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identify things in advance kind of game<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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plan out what might happen so we’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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ready to act when the market opens<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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before we get started we have a two hour<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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free workshop where I spent 30 minutes<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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going through our proprietary stock<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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selection process where I identify the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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lowest risk highest reward stocks each<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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day and we also go through three top<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trading setups that we use on our<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trading desk in New York City if you’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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interested in that to our free workshop<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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click on the link above or go to trading<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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workshop comm and check it out iw am<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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showing relative strength of the spies<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so if we just take it from in terms of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you know weird IWM rally to back on the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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ninth<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you’ve got to 124 60 it’s there so this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is trying on a relative basis showing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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strength even the day of the the guild<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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news day this was 120 360 at the at the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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after-hours high so it’s it’s it’s at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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higher levels than where it was then the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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spy was recently so even though from a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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bigger picture of multi month last 12<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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months situation the IWM is much weaker<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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than this by<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it’s now starting to show signs of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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relative strength here if we look at the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the uptrend channel it’s it’s moved up<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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into the 130s so you know you get a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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close above 126 they might try to just<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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push it to like 130 of by tomorrow even<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it’s just not that liquid and so we’ll<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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see let me just zoom in on the last PDA<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is just a skinny sense of what it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Belen so I had this move from one<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sixteenth one point that was the guild<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Day After Hours and since then it really<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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hasn’t had I guess this was pretty good<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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122 122 that was a $2.00 drive so it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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not a bunch of $2.00 drives you can see<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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them pretty like here was one here was<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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one end of the day after noon on Friday<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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there’s almost three so it’s something<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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like these that it has these big up days<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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like these for $5 you get the quick like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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really strong pop it’ll pull in and it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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takes out the morning high and then it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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just it just goes it’s about an 80 cent<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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range here in the pre-market let’s say<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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125 on the open comes in they flush it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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holes and starts to hold bag above 124<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and I would be thinking something like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that the other out possibilities it just<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it goes above 125 doesn’t really pull<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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back that much and then goes goes from<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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there so I just just be mentally like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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ready for this because of the relative<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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strength that are trailing obviously<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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already up 1.7 percent the pre-market<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it’s a lot versus the spire which is 1%<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In this video, Steve highlights a pattern that led to an outsized move in IWM and how you can identify this pattern.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":290,"featured_media":49825,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4189],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49824","post","type-post","status-publish","format-video","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-free-daily-trading-video","post_format-post-format-video"],"yoast_head":"\nHow To Identify A Large Market Move Before It Happens | SMB Training<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/how-to-identify-a-large-market-move-before-it-happens\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How To 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