{"id":49530,"date":"2020-01-22T10:59:55","date_gmt":"2020-01-22T15:59:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/?p=49530"},"modified":"2020-01-22T11:03:40","modified_gmt":"2020-01-22T16:03:40","slug":"how-traders-use-market-manipulation-to-profit-tsla","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/how-traders-use-market-manipulation-to-profit-tsla","title":{"rendered":"How Traders Use Market Manipulation To Profit (TSLA)"},"content":{"rendered":"

As long as there have been markets there has been market manipulation. In today’s video I will discuss one of the more common forms of manipulation and how traders can use it to their advantage.<\/p>\nView Video Transcript<\/strong><\/span>

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as long as there have been markets there<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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has been market manipulation in today’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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video I will discuss one of the more<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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common forms of manipulation and how<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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traders can use it to their advantage<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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[Music]<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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hi I’m Steven Spencer I’m a partner at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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SMB Capital proprietary trading firm in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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New York City where we trade stocks<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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options and futures broadly speaking<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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there are two ways people attempt to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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manipulate stock prices one is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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structural and by and large is allowed<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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or at least rarely have ever punished if<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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a trader has a large position in a stock<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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they would like to sell they may attempt<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to show strong buy interest in the stock<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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by showing large buy orders in the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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market other market participants see<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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those buy orders and some will buy stock<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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causing it to rise and the person with<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the large position is able to sell at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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higher prices when I was younger in my<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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early years of trading and the sort of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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thing bothered me but at a certain point<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I decided it made more sense to identify<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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this type of behavior and use it to my<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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advantage so I would closely watch what<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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we call the tape for manipulation and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trade the stock accordingly the second<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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way to push a stock around is by<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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creating stories about a company hedge<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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funds have been doing this for decades<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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they’re able to plant stories with news<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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outlets and in the current age they can<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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use social media platforms to very<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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quickly widely disseminate their stories<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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let’s take a look at a recent example in<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Tesla TSLA and let’s discuss how to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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identify whether a story is substantive<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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or not and whether the attempt at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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manipulation created a good short-term<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trading opportunity earlier this morning<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I woke up and was bombarded about Tesla<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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being investigated by the government I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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checked the stock price and it was down<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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about $7 from the days prior Glu’s then<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I did what most people don’t do I read<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the article with a headline that said it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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was under investigation and lo and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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behold it took a few seconds for me to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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realize the headline was inaccurate the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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NHTSA had received an email complaint<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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alleging that its cars were defective<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and as you can see from these headlines<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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some of them are accurate some are the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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marina accurate I’ve kind of circled the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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ones that are accurate where they say<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it’s alleged there’s lage that there is<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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an acceleration problem and a few of the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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more legitimate companies like The Wall<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Street Journal there they’re accurate<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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but men<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the other headlines are inaccurate<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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basically saying there’s an<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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investigation and that’s what’s causing<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the stock the gap lower the week our<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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safety works in the US is that if you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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believe there is a problem with the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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vehicle you can report it to the agency<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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in charge of vehicle safety that agency<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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must tell the general public it has<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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received a complaint and in the case of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Tesla this has happened repeatedly the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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past few years Tesla is the most heavily<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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shorted stock in the United States the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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value of Tesla’s short position is well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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over 10 billion dollars when you are<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sure to stock you lose money when the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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price rises in the case of Tesla in the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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first half of January it traded from<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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just above $400 per share to 550 the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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quick math is Schwartz had roughly four<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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billion dollars in losses in the first<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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two weeks of January that is a lot of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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pain on January 13th an email is sent to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the NHTSA stating that all of Tesla’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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cars were defective the person who sent<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the email knows the system they<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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understand the NHTSA will release a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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statement and then there will be a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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flurry of headlines and they pray like<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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hell those headlines will encourage<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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people to sell the stock and their<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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losses will become less Tesla was our<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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number one in play stock in our morning<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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game plan the news was a complaint had<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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been emailed to the NHTSA rather than<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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being annoyed or angry about this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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attempt at stock manipulation I followed<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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my normal prep and identified areas<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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where I would like to buy the stock if<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it dropped so here are the morning game<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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plan notes<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it has our multiple support areas has<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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multiple resistance areas we’re looking<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for it to trade in that range if you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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want to understand better how I develop<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the game plan how I develop the game<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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plan notes and the top and play stocks<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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please check out the trading workshop<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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com or click on the link above that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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takes you to our to our free workshop I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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spend 30 minutes explaining in detail<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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how to identify the most in play stocks<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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with the lowest risk highest reward and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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there are three of the top setups that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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we trade on our prop desk in New York<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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City as well and it’s well worth your<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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your time and we’ve gotten a lot of<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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positive feedback on it if there had<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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been no headline in the morning my game<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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plan would have been slightly different<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I would have still<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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at Tesla to trade an arranged but that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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range would have been higher based on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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yesterday’s large afternoon balance the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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adjustment to my game plan was simply<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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lowering the prices where I would look<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to buy the stock so coming into today<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you know we need to understand the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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context of what Tesla stock has done<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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recently I already let you know that it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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run up from just above four hundred<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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dollars a share to 550 in the first two<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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weeks of the month but if we zoom out<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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even a little bit more we know that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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going all the way back to October they<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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were they released a really good<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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earnings report in the stock had gapped<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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above 300 so the stock now from October<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to mid-january has traded from 300 all<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the way to above 500 dollars a share you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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could argue that this is perhaps the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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strongest stock in the market right now<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the buyers are in control the psychology<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is positive so that’s kind of a backdrop<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that we’re looking at when this news<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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comes out this morning with the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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complaint being filed with the NHTSA so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I’m I’m using that as part of my as I’m<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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developing my game plan there’s a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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positive psychology coming in I know<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that prior to today the stock had popped<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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out in front of 5:50 and it pulled back<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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yesterday down to below $500 a share<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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before having that strong afternoon<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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imbalance to 5:15<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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so as the stocks been trending higher<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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for the last few months it has not had<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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more than two days in a row of being<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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negative and so when it’s bounced has a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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big bounce yesterday from 493 is open to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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515 in the afternoon my thought process<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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is basically perhaps today can have a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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day of rest perhaps there will be a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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range and so the news story or the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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attempted news story by those who were<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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short the stock all that does is I still<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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think it can be a day of rest today but<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the the price levels will be shifted<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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downwards because in the free market its<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trading lower you might get a little bit<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of selling pressure right on the open<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and so I’m going to adjust adjust the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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prices that we look at trading in the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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market opens in Tesla bounces to 515<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that’s our three on our sheet so now I<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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know many traders were thinking the same<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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thing as me they’re using the headlines<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to buy based on the opening strength<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it was my view there are two possible<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trades in the afternoon buying a pull<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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back to the morning so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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port or the pre-market sort support<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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weird had a large bounce from already or<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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get long if Tesla trades above the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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morning high of five fifteen another<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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wrinkle to today’s market activity that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it is monthly options exploration and if<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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a stock has a large open interest for a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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strike price that can act as a magnet as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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well so as we look at the open interest<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sheet what we can see is there’s a lot<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of people who are in the five ten calls<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and a lot of people in the five ten puts<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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other than five hundred strike price<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it’s the largest open interest we see on<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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all these different strike prices and so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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what happens is as the stock Tesla<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trades above five ten people who own the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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calls they’re actually encouraged to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sell stock because they’re in effect<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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locking in profits on the calls they’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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along the five ten calls or when it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trades below five ten people who own the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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five ten parts are encouraged to get<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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long because that’s how they can profit<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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from their the puts that they own that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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gives them the ability to sell five ten<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sell at the five ten strike price at the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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close and so you have this dynamic where<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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rates above five ten it gets pulled back<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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when it get trades below five ten ten<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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potentially gets pulled pulled up and so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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that combined with the fact that we have<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the 508 support from the open and then<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the 504 505 support from the pre-market<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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I’m going to look if it’s they start to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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bounce from those levels for it to get<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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what’s called pinned at five ten into<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the clothes and so that’s another kind<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of a wrinkle and another thing that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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we’re gonna use as we’re looking to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trade the stock and so in the morning it<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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got to our r3 resistance level from our<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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game plan notes it failed there at 5:15<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and as it’s starting to fail there and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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move down a reasonable target is the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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five ten price level based on the large<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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open interest in the options and in the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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late morning in there I guess the middle<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of the day when it started to hold below<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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five ten you could look for it to come<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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into support and then it started to<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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bounce to pin back up at five ten as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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well<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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and so and I think as I’m doing this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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video I think it’s already had a you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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know it beds bounced from 505 for at 504<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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back up to 509 510 and as we come into<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the close and this is we’re filming this<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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before the close we’ll watch to see if<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it kind of pins right at that that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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strike price and so<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to beat the meme lesson in the main<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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takeaway from today is we coming into<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the day we had an idea how we were gonna<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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create this stock then these story<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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breaks the press is going to treat it as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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it normally does as a big headline a lot<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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of the headlines are gonna be incorrect<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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left less experienced traders will start<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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to sell it in the free market maybe even<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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sell it a little bit right on the open<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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but we’ll look for more experienced<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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traders to buy it because they saw the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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large balance yesterday they saw the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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strong afternoon close and the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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opportunity to buy that down $10 in the<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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morning based on the fact that it’s<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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already started a balance yesterday<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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people are going to jump in and use that<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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opportunity and then once we have our<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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morning high and our morning low we’re<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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then just gonna treat it as a range<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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trade and go from there we’re not gonna<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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get angry we’re not going to get upset<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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we’re gonna use this attempt at<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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manipulation to give us basically good<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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risk for trades so one of the great<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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things about the trading community and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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the people who watch the videos as we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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get amazing feedback on these videos we<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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get a lot of developing traders and<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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experienced traders talking about how<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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they would trade this situation how they<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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will use news to their advantage if you<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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have any ideas of how you would trade a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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similar situation or how you’re using a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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news catalyst or fake news catalyst<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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please comment below the video share<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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your ideas share your thoughts and if<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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you have questions by all means ask us<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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questions about this particular setup or<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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similar setups we’ll answer all your<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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questions and also a lot of the people<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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watching the video or experienced<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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traders they’ll give you feedback as<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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well so share your thoughts share your<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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questions we can all learn more that way<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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