{"id":1550,"date":"2009-07-22T21:13:11","date_gmt":"2009-07-23T02:13:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/?p=1550"},"modified":"2009-12-30T18:17:10","modified_gmt":"2009-12-30T23:17:10","slug":"stj-earnings-play-great-shorting-opportunity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/stj-earnings-play-great-shorting-opportunity","title":{"rendered":"STJ Earnings Play: Great Shorting Opportunity"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One of my absolute favorite plays is a stock that breaks down, comes back up to a great short price where a battle ensues and then breaks to the lows again.\u00a0 Today, STJ presented that opportunity.\u00a0 It had caught my eye in the morning because I generally like the way it trades on earnings, but when I typed it up before our morning meeting, there was no volume, so I wasn&#8217;t sure how good it was going to be.<\/p>\n<p>However, right before the open, a seller came down about 75 cents to 37.25 and sold a couple of thousand shares.\u00a0 This immediately caught my eye, and I decided to trade it.\u00a0 The stock opened around that 37.25 level and then traded down quickly to the whole.\u00a0 Because of the gap down, I decided to short with the seller.\u00a0 A little bit of support was found around 37, but when he finally dropped the stock traded down to 36 in about 2 minutes.<\/p>\n<p>Along the way down I was covering my short, and trying to figure out where to re-establish my short.\u00a0 The large gap down and the quick down move told me the stock was really weak, but on the way down I didn&#8217;t really see a level where there was a lot of volume done.\u00a0 Finally into the upmove, some volume occurred around the 60 level, and I decided this was my re-entry point.\u00a0 But then an interesting thing happened.<\/p>\n<p>36.50 started buying.\u00a0 And buying.\u00a0 And buying.\u00a0 Hundreds of\u00a0 thousands of shares.\u00a0 Then 60 started buying.\u00a0 Humongous prints going off.\u00a0 Hundreds of thousands of shares at a time.\u00a0 So once I saw the big prints step up, I got long.\u00a0 Then he stepped up to 70.\u00a0 Then to 80, then to 90.\u00a0 Talk about defending a position.\u00a0 There was a battle going on here.\u00a0 The buyer was actually printing huge blocks a few cents ABOVE the offer.\u00a0 At the moment, the buyer was winning.\u00a0 So I rode the long on the way up.\u00a0 At around 37, I thought the seller would try to make a play, but if the stock got above 37.25 I was going to begin playing aggressively long.<\/p>\n<p>But the plan was also to get short if the seller made a stand.\u00a0 The only thing driving the stock up was this one institutional buyer.\u00a0 Then, STJ couldn&#8217;t trade above 37.10, and when it got below the fig, it traded down to 36.75 really quickly before popping back up.\u00a0 Now I had a short bias.\u00a0 My plan was to be as aggressive as possible near the fig.\u00a0 And then the buyer came back and defended 90 cents, dropping a few times, but never printing below 85.\u00a0 I got out on the squeeze above the whole number, and set my alert for 88 cents.<\/p>\n<p>When I got back from lunch, STJ was right at that 85 level and dropped for the first time since the morning session.\u00a0 I got short and focused on holding a core.\u00a0 Below 36.50 the plan was to be very short, as the next stop was the low of the day, and then the recent lows of 35.80.\u00a0 I was also aware that below 36.50, this fund that bought millions of shares would be completely and totally wrong.\u00a0 I wussed out a little and didn&#8217;t hold as much size as I wanted, but I was able to hold a reasonable position for most of the down move.<\/p>\n<p>I definitely could have traded the setup better, but I was not only able to capitalize on my tape reading ability, but also I now have great levels for tomorrow.\u00a0 As a trader, you need to figure out what your best setups are, but also to capitalize on them when they present itself.\u00a0 I could have done a better job, but was pretty happy with the way I traded it, which is the second part of the battle.<\/p>\n<p>Levels I&#8217;ll be using in the stock tomorrow: 35.40, 35.75, 36.50, 37.25<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1552\" title=\"STJ 07-22-09\" src=\"http:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/07\/STJ-07-22-09.png\" alt=\"STJ 07-22-09\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One of my absolute favorite plays is a stock that breaks down, comes back up to a great short price where a battle ensues and then breaks to the lows again.\u00a0 Today, STJ presented that opportunity.\u00a0 It had caught my eye in the morning because I generally like the way it trades on earnings, but when I typed it up &#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/stj-earnings-play-great-shorting-opportunity\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":167,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1550","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-intraday-levels","no-post-thumbnail"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>STJ Earnings Play: Great Shorting Opportunity | SMB Training<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.smbtraining.com\/blog\/stj-earnings-play-great-shorting-opportunity\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"STJ Earnings Play: Great Shorting Opportunity | SMB Training\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"One of my absolute favorite plays is a stock that breaks down, comes back up to a great short price where a battle ensues and then breaks to the lows again.\u00a0 Today, STJ presented that opportunity.\u00a0 It had caught my eye in the morning because I generally like the way it trades on earnings, but when I typed it up ... 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