Momentum Versus Range-bound Trading

GualbertoTrading Theory13 Comments

Jarrett wrote: “How do you know when a stock will go from momentum/ trending nicely, to consolidating. This always get me in trouble. I will trade a stock, like IBN, from short side 32 to 30, than it traded 30, so i got short, then it bounces to 30.20 i cover, back and forth, and it turns out the stock … Read More

The Week That Was: May 11 – 15, 2009

GualbertoGeneral Comments2 Comments

The market finally showed some weakness this week. After closing near the rally’s highs at 93, the SPY gapped down on Monday morning, never being able to hold the 92 level, then the 90 level later in the week. Although we were pretty weak on Friday, we held above the 88 level which has been a huge inflection point over … Read More

The Week That Was: April 27 – May 1, 2009

GualbertoGeneral Comments1 Comment

A very interesting week.  The SPY continues to linger around just below the 88 level, consolidating near the highs.  Tuesday’s action after the Fed announcement increased volatility, although we haven’t really gone anywhere.  Wednesday morning, it looked like the bulls were regaining control of the tape, but were not able to close the week above the critical 88 level.  One … Read More

My FOMC Game Plan

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 Below are the last two FOMC statements: January 28, 2009 March 18, 2009 The most important part of the minutes will be the wording.  The rates won’t be cut (we’re already at our lowest rate) and they won’t be raised (we’re in the middle of a deflationary cycle where raising interest rates would kill any hope of a recovery and … Read More

The Week That Was: April 20 – 24

GualbertoGeneral Comments1 Comment

Well what looked like was going to be a week for the bears ended up being a pretty good week for he bulls.  Let’s keep an eye on that 88 level in the SPY, as it looks like it’s going to come into play again this upcoming week. The dollar index looks like it is breaking down from a bear … Read More

Some Interesting Links From the Past Week

GualbertoGeneral Comments3 Comments

From the people who brought you FAZ and FAS, Direxion, has launched triple T-bond ETF’s.  It’s currently very thinly traded, but so were FAZ/FAS when they first started.  I think these will become increasing more liquid, and will provide equity traders with an opportunity to trade bonds for volatility swings on the release of economic numbers and Fed meetings.  Definitely … Read More